Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.857351 2.129280 2.418290 2.747376 3.110733 3.498700 3.943277
2025-02-02 1.388549 1.770448 2.209554 2.747163 3.382777 4.105431 4.984011
2025-02-09 1.058910 1.491039 2.024874 2.721463 3.594200 4.638913 5.970359
2025-02-16 0.815227 1.261470 1.850794 2.665109 3.738190 5.080060 6.858242
2025-02-23 0.664442 1.120599 1.760073 2.688672 3.965648 5.621033 7.884942
2025-03-02 0.532949 0.979263 1.642472 2.652002 4.096189 6.030527 8.751430
2025-03-09 0.447834 0.890277 1.583186 2.682489 4.309378 6.549375 9.774833
2025-03-16 0.370605 0.798206 1.503936 2.669678 4.451761 6.969929 10.675583
2025-03-23 0.331380 0.763673 1.508890 2.780843 4.776252 7.653993 11.960959
2025-03-30 0.293917 0.724833 1.500244 2.866322 5.062837 8.292019 13.201695
2025-04-06 0.244278 0.652123 1.423130 2.830775 5.156785 8.649002 14.050083
2025-04-13 0.212985 0.610359 1.394831 2.871712 5.369263 9.185639 15.172338
2025-04-20 0.183287 0.567175 1.360776 2.903494 5.575231 9.731570 16.345501
2025-04-27 0.158770 0.530604 1.334936 2.947592 5.804377 10.324114 17.612942
2025-05-04 0.133040 0.484504 1.283445 2.939302 5.943668 10.781437 18.691952
2025-05-11 0.108100 0.433144 1.212991 2.887348 6.002461 11.111075 19.584258
2025-05-18 0.092776 0.404088 1.186220 2.915845 6.201082 11.669692 20.845224
2025-05-25 0.075873 0.364577 1.129428 2.878187 6.277177 12.028959 21.802220
2025-06-01 0.065409 0.342160 1.108960 2.911315 6.481118 12.602996 23.111353
2025-06-08 0.054350 0.313457 1.068436 2.897911 6.596537 13.031221 24.197535
2025-06-15 0.050175 0.309069 1.088942 3.016573 6.965419 13.898821 26.014150
2025-06-22 0.045345 0.300377 1.096849 3.107737 7.285268 14.691636 27.727890
2025-06-29 0.036923 0.272717 1.049042 3.069871 7.352654 15.050350 28.738635